Daily “Ways-to-Play” The News Before the Moves 3/5/2010

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Why Inflation Hawks Should Stand Down

No amount of huffing and puffing can inflate a leaky balloon. The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet has swelled to record levels amid the credit crisis, prompting concern that sharp U.S. inflation is soon to follow. But in spite of the Fed’s bulging balance sheet, the nation’s money supply is barely growing. That makes the prospect of near-term inflation less likely.

sell streetTRACKS Gold Trust (GLD)

sell iShares Lehman TIPS Bond Fund (TIP)

sell PIMCO Broad U.S. TIPS Index Fund (TIPZ);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Japanese private investors take record bets against yen

Japanese private investors have taken record bets against the yen, using their well-worn strategy of ‘buying on dips and selling on rallies’.

sell Rydex Japanese Yen Trust (FXY)

sell iPath JPY/USD Exchange Rate ETN (JYN)

buy ProShares UltraShort Yen (YCS);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Traders Seek Out the Next Greece in an Ailing Europe

Is Spain the next Greece? Or Italy? Or Portugal?

sell iShares MSCI-Spain (EWP)

sell Rydex Euro Currency Trust (FXE);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7d09384e-2768-11df-b0f1-00144feabdc0.html

The group loss, which compared with a $3.46bn net profit for 2008, came following the worst year in the history of container shipping, which accounts for more than 40 per cent of the Maersk group’s revenue.

sell Claymore/Delta Global Shipping Index ETF (SEA);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

IS THE STOCK MARKET 26% OVERVALUED?

“If there was an impediment, in addition to a murky economic outlook, it is valuation. There were revisions to the Shiller valuation data and the latest reading on the normalized real P/E multiple is at 20.64x, up from the 20.0x in February and 20.5x in January. The long-run trend is at 16.36x, suggesting that the S&P is currently overvalued by 26%.”

buy UltraShort S&P 500 ProShares (SDS)

sell S&P 500 SPDR (SPY)

buy Ultra ProShort S&P500 ProShares (SPXU);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

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