Daily “Ways-to-Play” The News Before the Moves 1/14/2010

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THE PROBABILITY OF A CRISIS WILL BUILD DURING 2010

So says the team of equity analysts at Barclays. Although policymakers helped avoid the second Great Depression, Barclays believes we have simply kicked the can down the road. As their head of U.S. equity strategy said in November, the likelihood of Japanese style de-leveraging stagnation remains very high.

sell DJIA DIAMONDS (DIA)

sell S&P 500 SPDR (SPY)

sellNasdaq-100 Index Tracking Stock (QQQQ)

sell iShares Russell 2000 (IWM);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Insight: Sovereign default risks loom large

The sustainability of sovereign debt hangs heavily over bond markets, and the prospects for economic and financial stability. Since 2007, OECD government deficits have risen by 7 per cent of GDP to just over 8 per cent, and debt, excluding contingent liabilities, has risen by about 25 per cent of GDP to just over 100 per cent.

sell Rydex Euro Currency Trust (FXE)

buy ProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)

sell iShares S&P/Citigroup International Treasury Fund (IGOV);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Spain in 2010: Will Unemployment Prolong the Economic Crisis?

Spain is at least nominally responsible for leading the trading bloc out of the current financial crisis. However, the economic outlook for 2010 is bleak: Spain has become “the sick man of Europe” after six or seven consecutive quarters of negative growth and galloping unemployment that is nearly double the European average. In 2007, Spain’s unemployment rate was 8.3%. By the end of November, the rate reached 19.4%. That compares with an average rate of 10% among the 16 euro zone

sell iShares MSCI-Spain (EWP)

sell streetTRACKS Dow Jones STOXX 50 Fund (FEU);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

China, Disappointing Earnings Hit Equities

China, Disappointing Earnings Hit Equities

buy Asia Pacific Fund (APB);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Stocks, commodities fall after China bank move

Stocks, commodities fall after China bank move

buy Asia Pacific Fund (APB);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Asia markets fall as China moves to curb credit – inSing.com

Asia markets fall as China moves to curb credit – inSing.com

buy Asia Pacific Fund (APB);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

As Buildings Empty, Banks’ Credit Woes Pile Up

As banks start releasing fourth-quarter earnings this week, the losses and reserves tied to commercial real-estate loans could spike even higher than some analysts think. Regional banks could get hit hardest, given typically greater exposure to commercial property than their bigger brethren.

sell KBW Regional Banking ETF (KRE);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

CLSA’s Mike Mayo Discusses A Financial Industry On Steroids, Lays Out The 10 Main Problems With Banks

Mike Mayo lays out the ten main problems with the financial industry:

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Emerging market bonds shed junk status

The average rating of the 39 countries that make up the benchmark emerging market sovereign bond index has moved up one notch from junk, or high yield, to the lowest rung of investment grade, according to Moody’s.

buy iShares Emerging Market Bond Exchange Traded Fund (EMB)

buy Western Asset Emerging Markets Debt Fund, Inc (ESD);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

US petroleum stocks fit for bursting

Weekly US energy inventory data release on Wednesday confirmed the unbelievable. US petroleum stocks rose in the week despite especially cold weather in the region during the period. Meanwhile, Dennis Gartman of the Gartman Letter draws attention to the fact that aggregate inventory rose by 8.9m barrels, amongst the largest weekly aggregate increase ever.

sell United States Oil Fund LP (USO)

sell United States 12 Month Oil Fund, LP (USL);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Fed up

Germany’s support for solar power is becoming ever harder to afford

sell PowerShares WilderHill Clean Energy Portfolio (PBW);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

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