Daily “Ways-to-Play” The News Before the Moves 12/31/2009



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Pessimism on Stocks Drops to Lowest Since 1987 Following Rally

Dec. 30 (Bloomberg) — Pessimism about U.S. stocks among newsletter writers fell to the lowest level since April 1987, six months before the equity market crash known as Black Monday, following the biggest rally in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index in seven decades.

buy UltraShort S&P 500 ProShares (SDS)

sell S&P 500 SPDR (SPY);

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Nomura: 2010 Global Economic Outlook

A Tale of Two Recoveries : The aftermath of the crisis should constrain the developed world recovery, but, led by a booming China, emerging markets look set for strong growth.

buy PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund (UDN)

buy iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 (FXI)

buy iShares MSCI-Japan (EWJ)

buy iShares MSCI-Emerging Markets (EEM)

buy iShares MSCI BRIC Index Fund (BKF)

buy WisdomTree Dreyfus Brazilian Real Fund (BZF)

buyProShares UltraShort Euro (EUO)

buy WisdomTree Dreyfus Emerging Currency Fund (CEW);

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An end to the Japanese lesson

Japan has taught the world a great deal about coping with the financial crisis. Now the West is on its own

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Internal Divisions and the Chinese Stimulus Plan

Due in large part to fears of dire consequences if nothing were done to tackle the economic crisis, China rushed through a 4 trillion yuan (US$586 billion) economic stimulus package in November 2008. The plan cobbled together existing and new initiatives focused on massive infrastructure development projects (designed, among other things, to soak up surplus steel, cement and labor capacity), tax cuts, green energy programs, and rural development.
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Treasuries Set for Worst Year Since 1978 as U.S. Steps Up Sales

“With two auctions out of the way and the magic seven ahead of us, we believe that supply fears, which helped to get bonds into attractive levels, will fade for now and the next few days should be a steady grind lower in rates,” said George Goncalves, chief fixed-income rates strategist in New York at Cantor Fitzgerald LP, a primary dealer.

buy iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT);

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Bond Investors Bet on Japan’s Day of Reckoning

Some hedge funds are starting to wager on painful times ahead for Japan, the world’s second-largest economy.

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US slaps new duties on Chinese steel

The US will impose tough new duties on Chinese steel piping imports, raising tensions with its biggest trading partner and emerging geopolitical rival.

sell PowerShares Golden Dragon Halter USX China Portfolio (PGJ)

buy Market Vectors Steel Index Fund (SLX);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

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