Daily “Ways-to-Play” The News Before the Moves 12/21/2009

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Taming the Fat Cats

President Obama seems genuinely, if belatedly, upset about the way America’s voracious bankers leveraged hundreds of billions in taxpayer bailouts to line their pockets with multibillion-dollar bonuses while American businesses starve for credit.

sell SPDR-Financial (XLF);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Harder to buy US Treasuries

IT is getting harder for governments to buy United States Treasuries because the US’s shrinking current-account gap is reducing supply of dollars overseas, a Chinese central bank official said yesterday.

sell iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

TIPS Give Way to Inflation as Deflation-Adjusted Yields Decline

“The gap between yields on Treasuries and so-called TIPS due in 10 years, a measure of the outlook for consumer prices, closed above 2.25 percentage points four days last week, the longest stretch since August 2008. That’s the low end of the range in the five years before Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. collapsed, and shows traders expect inflation, not deflation in coming months, said Jay Moskowitz, head of TIPS trading at CRT Capital Group LLC in Stamford, Connecticut. ”

sell iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT)

buy iShares Lehman TIPS Bond Fund (TIP)

buy PIMCO Broad U.S. TIPS Index Fund (TIPZ);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

CEOs Paying 56% M&A Premium Shows Stocks May Be Cheap

American companies are paying the biggest premiums on record in takeovers, a sign executives are growing more bullish about profits and stocks even after the biggest rally for the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index in 73 years.

buy S&P 500 SPDR (SPY)

buy IQ ARB Merger Arbitrage ETF (MNA);
Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Will the new frugality born of the recession reshape a generation?

“Absolutely I’ve changed my spending habits,” Haley said, as she and her mother came out of a Shoppers Food Warehouse with just a few bags of what she described as “healthy” groceries in a giant shopping cart. “I’m only getting essentials.”

buy SPDR-Consumer Staples (XLP)

sell SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT)

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

China targeting 8% growth in 2010

China has announced it is targeting economic growth of 8% in 2010, despite the continuing effects of the global downturn.

buy iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 (FXI);

Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

Alcoa stock rises on upgrade, Saudi joint venture

Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to “overweight” from “equal weight,” saying it expects Alcoa to report better profitability in its alumina and downstream divisions

buy iPath Dow Jones-AIG Aluminum Total Return Sub-Index (JJU);
Check out how others are using ETFs to capitalize on this news or add your own opinion

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